ECRI's
Weekly
Leading
Index (WLI)
is a
composite
index key USA weekly
economic
series. The
limited
availability
of weekly
data
constrains
the number
of
variables
in the
composite
index, but
this has
not hurt
the WLI's
predictive
power. The
weekly
frequency
of the WLI
makes it a
very
timely
gauge of
the
economy's
direction. During
the past 10 years, there was a correlation of 69% when the index grew 6 months
paced with 2 quarters growth in U.S. GDP (i.e. 69% chance the index precedes the
economic trend).

ECRI
Index as
at 2012 January 20
